Is going to university a good deal?

Around the beginning of the year, students and potential students start to make big decisions about not only which course to do, but whether they should go to university at all.

Here’s the quick answer: you should. Not only is it a good investment for you, it is a good investment for society.

What is the investment?

If you are talking undergraduate, you will pay between $6500 and $11,000 per year for Australian residents, depending not on the uni you go to but the HECS cluster you are in (see an article that explores that in more detail). But that is only part of the investment. You will need to buy study materials from text books to lab equipment, pay for administration and amenities (about $150). If you are from a regional area you may need to fund accommodation or a residential college (with potentially expensive legal fees for participating in some horrendous out-dated misogynistic hazing ritual).

I know you also need to factor in travelling to uni, coffees, meals, no-doze *snark* etc, but you would be eating and drinking anyway (OK, maybe not that much drinking), and you get concession rates on travel, so let’s not split hairs here.

The big cost is the opportunity (or real) cost of not working. If you are spending 12 to 15 hours per week at uni, plus double that for study, group work, assignments, readings etc, that equates to a 36 to 45 hour week – roughly the same as a full-time job. So what could you be earning working full time?

Let’s assume you are earning minimum wage, which is fair enough as if you are 18 and not studying you don’t really have that much to offer in terms of skills sets.

An 18 year old will earn $12.09 per hour (not counting casual loading of 25%). So working that out to a salary you get a smidge over $22,000 per year. Once you hit 19, you earn $14.60 per hour, so your salary rockets up to $26,570 per year. And at 20, you earn $17.29 per hour, or $31,468. So for the three years you are working instead of studying, you could earn just over $80,000 minus tax. That is a big opportunity cost for going to university. But this also assumes when you aren’t at university you are just either studying, socialising or sitting at home wasting time reading articles like this. Many students don’t do that. They work. In fact almost 60% of students work either part or full time while studying. So if you managed to work for the equivalent of half the year this halves the amount of lost income you need to make for by going to university.

So let’s say, for the average Australian, an investment in going to uni, including fees and opportunity cost, will sit somewhere between $60,000 and $75,000. This equates to around 2 years at one of the country’s most expensive private schools. It will also be around half the deposit you will need to buy a modest apartment in Sydney (or a 4 bedroom home in Brisbane).

So is this a good deal? Let’s look at the return on investment.

In 2015, the median starting salary of graduates in Australia aged under 25 was $54,000 (and preparing females for a lifetime of salary disparity, male graduates average $55,000 while females average $53,000).

Going back to the minimum salary figures, for a 21+ year old (the average age of someone finishing a three-year degree) is just over $32,000. So in theory, you could be able to earn around $22,000 per year more if you have a degree. Now I know not everyone earns minimum wage. And I know you can start your own company, be your boss and all that (but most fail, especially if you don’t have any essential knowledge about markets and skills to deliver what they want). But ignoring all of that, it would take you at most 4 years of post-university working to get a positive return on your investment. Over the course of your career, you can expect to earn $2.9 million if you have a bachelor degree, compared to $2.07 million for someone who finished year 12 (see http://www.abc.net.au/news/2012-10-24/uni-graduates-likely-to-earn-one-million-more-over-lifetime/4330506).

Sure everyone knows someone who dropped out in year 10 and made millions, but they are the exception, not the rule.

Of course, there is also the concept of subjective wellbeing, and a 2011 NATSEM paper identified that “the more educated of the younger age group are still more satisfied with their finance and health than the less educated of their age group” (source: NATSEM http://www.natsem.canberra.edu.au/storage/WP12%20Final%20for%20Web.pdf, page 16). Interestingly this correlation drops away with master and doctor-levels of education, but this might be because after spending 6 years becoming the world expert in the minutiae of an obscure topic you realise this doesn’t make you any more employable.

Video blogger John Green  put out a great video on how college in America (where it is way more expensive than in Australia) is worth it. Check it out here. In addition to the financial benefits he made a great point that since graduating college he hasn’t had to clean up vomit in a restroom– something that was not a particularly joyful part of his part-time job.

And this is the real reason why university education is worth it. I like what I do, and get to work with really, really smart people. I don’t have to clean up vomit. One of my brothers, who left school in year 10, cuts down trees for a living. He is very good at it, and works very, very hard. Once when I was complaining that during a heatwave I had to loosen my tie even inside my air-conditioned office, he countered that he passed out from heat exhaustion. Up a tree. I am not saying that my brother would choose to do my job. And I am certainly not saying what I do is more important. But what I am saying is that I had a lot more choice of career with a university education. You can do a whole degree then go and do a trade, but it is your choice then.

And the benefit to society?

A range of analysis points to the broader benefit to society in terms of economic inputs (around $5 billion in increased government revenue per year, and a much lower chance of being unemployed) but it is more than just economic. University provides all graduates with a higher ability in analysis and critical thinking. This leads to greater abilities in problem solving. This generates new thinking in key areas that benefit society.

And perhaps most importantly, an educated population is less likely to vote in a despot. Just look at America. Sure, not all of the voters for the new President were dumb-as-shit under-educated rednecks. Some were wealthy white neo-nazi fuckwits as well. But the very loud voice of dissent, those that are calling him and his cronies on the blatant lies, are most loudly coming from those with university education (and by university I mean real university, not private real estate sales University con-jobs). In every totalitarian regime, it is those who are educated that are targeted first as they represent the biggest threat. So education is not only good for you personally, and not only good for the economy. It is good for freedom and democracy.

University education won’t guarantee you a great career, just like doing a trade doesn’t consign you to a life of misery. But it gives you choice, it gives you agency, it gives you knowledge that you will call on for years to come, and it will provide a network of some of the best people you will ever meet.

How much are you paying for university?

Understanding undergraduate university fees in Australia

Remember in 2016 when everyone was freaking out about $100,000 law degrees when Abbott was suggesting that university fees for undergraduates should be deregulated?

Well, that didn’t end up happening, if you are starting university in 2017, it might be helpful to know what you will pay, and what the government pays, for your university education. And how we compare as a nation on the global stage.

We are lucky to have, at least for now, a pretty good loan system for students so that, in theory, higher education is available to all regardless of their socioeconomic circumstances.

In 2015, the last year for which we have higher education statistics, over a quarter of a million Australians commenced a bachelor’s degree. This is more than any other year in Australia’s history. They were joined by 85,000 international students, more than half of whom commenced commerce and management related courses. See the chart below for details on what people were studying (note these are based on broad DET classifications which, unhelpfully, don’t match HECS funding clusters).

Commencing-students.png

Those 85,000 international students help to bankroll what would otherwise be a chronically underfunded higher education system in Australia. How low is government funding per student? Well at 0.7% of GDP, government funding for higher education is well below the average in the OECD (1.1%) and is above only Japan, which has an ageing population and hardly any people left of university age.

The chart below (I like charts) shows the level of private expenditure in tertiary education, and Australia is well above average for that, and the ratio of private to public spending, which is higher in Australia than for all but the really big spenders in tertiary education. Bottom line is, the government is paying less for your university education than just about anywhere else where you would like to live. (slight caveat here, since 2013, the UK has shafted its students by raising fees to the point where they are now over £9000 per year)

Private-public-spending.png

Remember when we were aiming to be the clever country? It is even more depressing when you realise that we rank 4th in the OECD for the percentage of 25-34 year olds with a Bachelor degree (which are publicly funded, at least in part), and 11th for those with both a Bachelor and Master (which are largely privately funded) degree. All up over a third of Australians are heading off to university. See the chart below for details. So if we are pumping out more graduates than average, but spending less, either our universities are super-efficient, or the quality is lower, or the money is coming from somewhere else (you, and international students).

percent of 25-34 yo with higher ed.png

However, this is only half the story, because what you pay, and what the government pays, depends on what you study. Your HECS contribution depends on the cluster in which your subjects sit. There are three broad price bands that you will pay per full-time year:

  • $6349 (humanities, teaching, social studies, psychology, performing arts, languages, nursing)
  • $9050 (mathematics, science, built environment, allied health, engineering, agriculture)
  • $10,596 (business, law, medicine, dentistry, veterinary science)

Every subject taught at university has to fit into one of 11 clusters. So if you are studying business or law, you pay $10,596 in 2017 (assuming you do a full-time load), more than every other type of student except medicine. However, whereas the government contributes an additional $22,809 to universities for each medicine student, they only add another $2089 for business and law students. This means business and law students fork out 84% of the funding that the university gets for teaching them. The next highest ratio of student to government funding is for humanities, and that is at 52%. Check out the chart and table below, or visit the government HECS website for full lists of subjects.

HECS-clusters.png

Cluster Description What you pay (2017) What the government pays Total funding to the university % you pay
1 Law, business, economics, commerce $10,596 $2,089 $12,685 84%
2 Humanities $6,349 $5,809 $12,158 52%
3 Mathematics, computing, built environment, other health $9,050 $10,278 $19,328 47%
3 Behavioural science or social studies $6,349 $10,278 $16,627 38%
4 Education $6,349 $10,695 $17,044 37%
5 Clinical psychology, languages, visual and performing arts $6,349 $12,641 $18,990 33%
5 Allied Health $9,050 $12,641 $21,691 42%
6 Nursing $6,349 $14,113 $20,462 31%
7 Engineering, science, surveying $9,050 $17,971 $27,021 33%
8 Dentistry, medicine or veterinary science $10,596 $22,809 $33,405 32%
8 Agriculture $9,050 $22,809 $31,859 28%

This funding not only impacts you and the amount of HECS debt you will have to pay back once (if) you start earning over $54K (see the Study Assist website for details), but the total funding that the university gets for teaching you. This in turn dictates how students are taught, including class sizes, teaching resources, teaching modes and more. It allows universities to invest more per student in courses that are resource-intensive, which is great, but also restricts the amount of resources that can be given to some subjects. And it encourages universities to rely on international student income to a higher level than in any other country. International students don’t get subsidised at all by government funding, and pay up to three times what you pay for an undergraduate education.

Because the pain of paying for your education is deferred, you are less likely to think too much about it, but you should. You should also think about how much, or how little, your education is subsidised, and whether the public benefit of your education outweighs the percentage you pay.

Whether university education is a good investment for you (it most definitely is) is the subject of another article but you should definitely get your head around the investment first.

Happy studies.